Bitcoin’s price movements in 2025 are showing unsettling similarities to its behavior in 2018, raising questions among traders about the potential for a new bull cycle. Despite a lack of retail enthusiasm, key indicators and positive price trends point toward Bitcoin possibly entering an upward trajectory. This evokes curiosity about whether the cryptocurrency is on the verge of another significant recovery.
Observations reveal a quiet momentum shift reminiscent of the breakout witnessed in late 2018. After enduring prolonged bear markets marked by deep declines, Bitcoin’s price stabilized, allowing it to break free from bearish constraints. Historically, such transitions have led to substantial bull cycles.
Currently, Bitcoin’s market capitalization has once again moved away from the “red zone,” signaling a resurgence in bullish momentum. Although this setup does not guarantee a rally, past trends suggest that these changes often precede prolonged uptrends. However, the current cycle is different due to the evolving macroeconomic landscape.
Now operating in a post-ETF context with increased institutional investment and enhanced infrastructure, Bitcoin’s environment contrasts sharply with 2018. Nevertheless, the underlying emotional drivers of fear and greed continue to influence market dynamics. A notable point is that recent on-chain indicators have formed patterns echoing 2018’s recovery signs.
Traditionally, price action lags behind these metrics, suggesting that smart money may be positioning itself for a forthcoming opportunity before broader retail interest spikes. Bitcoin’s recent price activity, particularly closing above $87,000 with a gain of 2.5%, signals a potential shift in trend. The relative strength index (RSI) remains comfortably below overbought levels, hinting at room for additional upside.
Combined with rising On-Balance Volume(OBV), which indicates growing buying pressure, Bitcoin appears poised for movement. Should it break through the $88,000 resistance level, a swift ascent toward $90,000 could occur, reminiscent of early recovery patterns from previous cycles.