Mozambique News Agency
AIM Reports
Maputo 31 Oct (AIM) - With 52 per cent of polling stations now processed in the provisional count from Wednesday's general elections, all the trends seen early on in Radio Mozambique's broadcasts of results from polling station sheets are confirmed.
From the results sheets compiled by the Electoral Administration Technical Secretariat (STAE), incumbent President Armando Guebuza is set to be re-elected with around 75 per cent of the vote, and the ruling Frelimo Party will have a majority of more than two thirds in the new parliament.
Support for Afonso Dhlakama, leader of Renamo, has dropped to around 15 per cent. Clearly last year's split in Renamo has hurt Dhlakama very badly, with many Renamo supporters turning to the man he threw out of the party, the mayor of Beira, Daviz Simango, who now heads the Mozambique Democratic Movement (MDM). Simango seems set to take about 10 per cent of the vote.
Renamo will still be the second largest group in parliament, but it will be joined by perhaps ten deputies from the MDM. In an anomalous result from the northern province of Cabo Delgado, the Party for Peace, Democracy and Development (PDD), led by Dhlakama's former number two, Raul Domingos, who was expelled from Renamo in 2000, looks set to win a couple of seats.
The latest detailed results are given below.
In Maputo city, there is no change over Friday's figures. STAE has not yet received the results sheets from three of the 791 polling stations. The results from the other 788 are:
Presidential election
Daviz Simango (MDM): 51,294 (15 per cent)
Armando Guebuza (Frelimo): 275,864 (80 per cent)
Afonso Dhlakama (Renamo): 16,385 (5 per cent)
Parliamentary election
Frelimo: 263,819 (76.6 per cent)
Renamo: 18,902 (5 per cent)
MDM: 56,136 (16.3 per cent)
PDD: 852 (0.25 per cent)
This is enough to make a preliminary estimate of the number of seats each party will hold. AIM calculates that Frelimo will have 14 of the 18 Maputo city seats, the MDM will have three, and Renamo one. This is one of the few bright spots for the opposition - it means that the number of opposition seats in Maputo city will double, from two to four
In Maputo province, the figures are also unchanged from Friday, with 512 out of 848 polling stations processed (60.38 per cent). Renamo is doing very badly, but with six to seven per cent of the vote, it should hold one to its one parliamentary seat from this province. The full results are:
Presidential election
Daviz Simango (MDM): 24,561 (10 per cent)
Armando Guebuza (Frelimo): 201,422 (85 per cent)
Afonso Dhlakama (Renamo): 10,642 (4 per cent)
Parliamentary election
Frelimo: 171,262 (89 per cent)
Renamo: 13,215 (6.9 per cent)
PDD: 3,276 (1.71 per cent)
In Gaza, Frelimo will, as in 1999 and 2004, win all 16 parliamentary seats in the province, with a majority of over 95 per cent. The results from 661 of the 882 polling stations (74.9 per cent) are:
Presidential election
Daviz Simango (MDM): 7,193 (2.5 per cent)
Armando Guebuza (Frelimo): 278,868 (96.7 per cent)
Afonso Dhlakama (Renamo): 2,291 (0.8 per cent)
Parliamentary election (628 polling stations)
Frelimo: 251,927 (96 per cent)
Renamo: 2,732 (1 per cent)
In Inhambane, Frelimo looks certain to win at least 14 of the 16 seats. Renamo will win a seat, and, on the current figures, Frelimo and the MDM are neck and neck for the 16th seat. The full Inhambane results from 552 of the 868 polling stations (63.6 per cent) are:
Presidential election
Daviz Simango (MDM): 14,025 (8.2 per cent)
Armando Guebuza (Frelimo): 147,574 (86.2 per cent)
Afonso Dhlakama (Renamo): 9,666 (5.6 per cent)
Parliamentary election
Frelimo: 141,299 (83.3 per cent)
Renamo: 11,108 (6.6 per cent)
MDM: 8,890 (5.2 per cent)
PDD: 2,835 (1.7 per cent)
In Sofala, once regarded as the impenetrable stronghold of Renamo, Frelimo now looks set to win over half of the 20 parliamentary seats at stake, with the MDM taking six or seven and Renamo three or four. The results, from 642 of the 962 polling stations (66.7 per cent) are:
Presidential election
Daviz Simango (MDM): 66,212 (29.4 per cent)
Armando Guebuza (Frelimo): 123,074 (54.6 per cent)
Afonso Dhlakama (Renamo): 36,213 (16.1 per cent)
Parliamentary election
Frelimo: 119,950 (53.3 per cent)
Renamo: 38,375 (17.1 per cent)
MDM: 60,862 (27.1 per cent)
PDD: 2,619 (1.2 per cent).
From the neighbouring province of Manica, STAE has now processed 347 of the 847 seats (40.97) per cent, not enough to make firm predictions about parliamentary seats. The results are:
Presidential election
Daviz Simango (MDM): 10,339 (10 per cent)
Armando Guebuza (Frelimo): 69,858 (71 per cent)
Afonso Dhlakama (Renamo): 18,710 (19 per cent)
Parliamentary election
Frelimo: 70,837 (72,2 per cent)
Renamo: 22,222 (22.7 per cent)
PDD: 1,703 (1.7 per cent)
Zambezia province used to give the majority of its votes to Renamo, but not any more. On current showing, Frelimo will win around 30 of the 45 Zambezia seats. The results, from 1,100 of the 2,064 polling stations (53.3 per cent) are;
Presidential election
Daviz Simango (MDM): 22,291 (7.9 per cent)
Armando Guebuza (Frelimo): 171,499 (60.6 per cent)
Afonso Dhlakama (Renamo): 89,056 (31.5 per cent)
Parliamentary election (only 981 polling stations)
Frelimo: 151,970 (62 per cent)
Renamo: 82,449 (33 per cent)
Nampula, the largest of the provincial constituencies, also sends 45 deputies to parliament. Since STAE has only compiled results from a quarter of the polling stations, it is not possible to forecast the breakdown of those seats. The results from 556 of the 2.156 polling stations (25.8 per cent) are:
Presidential election
Daviz Simango (MDM): 9,112 (5.7 per cent)
Armando Guebuza (Frelimo): 116,221 (72,5 per cent)
Afonso Dhlakama (Renamo): 34,928 (21.8 per cent)
Parliamentary election
Frelimo: 119,044 (73 per cent)
Renamo: 36,546 (22 per cent)
In the western province of Tete, 505 of the 1,207 polling stations have been processed (41.8 per cent). They gave the following results:
Presidential election
Daviz Simango (MDM): 9,825 (5.4 per cent)
Armando Guebuza (Frelimo): 155,423 (86 per cent)
Afonso Dhlakama (Renamo): 15,298(8.5 per cent)
Parliamentary election
Frelimo: 159,887 (86 per cent)
Renamo: 19,743 (11 per cent)
In the northern province of Cabo Delgado, the figures, unchanged by STAE from Friday afternoon, still show the PDD with over eight per cent of the vote, much more than it has achieved in any other province, and enough to give it two or three of the 22 Cabo Delgado seats. Possibly, since the MDM was not on the ballot paper in this province, MDM militants opted to mobilize for the PDD instead. The Cabo Delgado figures, from 362 of the 1,138 polling stations (31.8 per cent) are:
Presidential election
Daviz Simango (MDM): 5,220 (5.3 per cent)
Armando Guebuza (Frelimo): 80,443 (81.3 per cent)
Afonso Dhlakama (Renamo): 13,253 (13.4 per cent)
Parliamentary election
Frelimo: 74,512 (76.7 per cent)
Renamo: 11,429 (11.8 per cent)
PDD: 8,270 (8.51 per cent).
Finally, from Niassa province in the far north, STAE has corrected its mistake of Friday which put the MDM with an absurd 0.09 per cent of the vote. The MDM has in fact achieved so far over 4,000 votes, but this is unlikely to give it any of the 14 Niassa seats. The figures from 501 of the 832 polling stations (60.3 per cent) are:
Presidential election
Daviz Simango (MDM): 6,395 (5 per cent)
Armando Guebuza (Frelimo): 103,021 (81.2 per cent)
Afonso Dhlakama (Renamo): 17,422(13.7 per cent)
Parliamentary election
Frelimo: 91,239 (79.9 per cent)
Renamo: 16,935 (14.8 per cent)
MDM: 4,039 (3.5 per cent).